Volatile DOW. Stock thoughts: NBG, UNG, GLD. - Sell-Early.com Short Term Investing

Recently Closed Positions:
UNG+2.3% 12/02-12/07
IFNNY+1.8% 11/19-12/03
NBG+1.5% 11/23-12/02
UAUA+3.3% 11/24-11/27
UNG+2.9% 11/18-11/25
UAUA+1.7% 11/24-11/24
RBY+3.5% 11/18-11/23
UNG+1.4% 11/18-11/23
UNG+2.7% 11/18-11/23
UAUA+3.2% 11/19-11/23
DELL+1.5% 10/23-11/16
UNG+3.5% 11/13-11/16
UNG+1.1% 11/09-11/09
CMCSK+2.1% 11/04-11/09
RBY+5.6% 10/23-11/04
F+2.7% 11/02-11/02
DRC+2.1% 10/30-10/30
BBT+1.0% 10/29-10/29
BBT+0.5% 10/29-10/29
RJA+3.16% 06/15-10/23
MSFT+0.8% 10/23-10/23
DELL+2.8% 10/22-10/23
DELL+1.4% 10/19-10/21
DBC+0.3% 10/20-10/21
MON+0.7% 10/07-10/13
RJA+1.8% 12/31-10/13
DBA+4.4% 10/09-10/13
DBC+3.7% 09/23-10/09
DBC+2.9% 08/31-10/08
MON+2.5% 10/07-10/07
POT+1.5% 10/01-10/06
MON+0.9% 09/23-09/28
POT+1.4% 08/04-09/17
MON+1.7% 09/11-09/15
POT+0.9% 09/14-09/14
POT+2.8% 08/31-09/11
UNG+2.1% 09/01-09/09
ETFC+11% 04/29-08/31
MSFT+22% 05/28-08/28
PETM+5% 08/20-08/27
MSFT+5.2% 08/06-08/27
POT+4.6% 08/04-08/05
AUY+10.1% 06/15-08/03
WFC+3.4% 06/17-06/30
ESLR+1.6% 06/05-06/09
WFC+3.7% 06/03-06/04
MSFT+4.4% 05/19-06/01
WFC+1.1% 05/28-05/28
PNRA+0.9% 05/12-05/28
UNG+16.5% 05/27-05/06
UNG+16.5% 05/27-05/06
WFC+10.0% 05/05-05/06
NBG+54.0% 02/18-05/04
UNG+1.8% 04/24-05/01
MSFT+7.3% 04/23-04/24
SIRI+4.9% 12/01-03/25
UNG+9.3% 03/16-03/24
DBC+6.7% 02/18-03/13
WFC+7.8% 02/18-02/26
DBC+5.8% 02/18-02/24
AAPL+3.9% 11/14-01/28
AAPL+11.4% 01/20-01/21
MSFT+16.8% 11/20-11/24
DBA-36.6% 07/14-11/14
MSFT+4.9% 11/12-11/13
AUY+4.3% 10/16-11/04
NBG+11.9% 10/15-10/23(ahrs)
MSFT+11.9% 10/07-10/14
IVV+1.4% 10/08-10/14
NBG+6.1% 10/07-10/09
WFC+2.9% 10/03-10/03
KFT+0.6% 09/24-10/02
SIL+12.1% 09/29-10/01
QQQQ+1.5% 09/30-9/30
WFC+6.2% 09/24-9/26
SLV+1.2% 09/02-9/22
WFC+4.8% 09/19-9/19
NBG+3.1% 09/18-9/18
SLV+1.4% 09/02-9/18
RBY+3.9% 09/10-9/18
AUY+1.0% 09/08-9/18
XTO+1.8% 07/22-9/18
AUY+16.4% 09/10-9/12
NBG+2.4% 09/11-9/12
DBA +1.5% 07/21-8/21
CROX +1.1% 07/29-30
SIRI +5.2% 07/29-30
SIRI +9.6% 07/29-29
BAC +1.6% 07/21-21
QQQQ +1.2% 07/15-15
ROH +0.13% 07/10-07/11
DBC +2.5 07/09-07/11
NBG +5.7% 07/02-03
DBC +7.6% 05/30-25Current MPY: 1.4%

Issue: 02, December 2009
Today: NBG, UNG, GLD)

Day Play:

UNG $8.75

3-Day Play:

NBG $5.50

Longer:

GLD $105.00

Commentary:

We sold early a position in NBG to trim our exposure, but we are still very exposed. Recent news headlines about the CEO change, Dubai, and even their earnings have caused some real knee jerks. This bank is loaded with cash, the CEO change is normal for the Greek political process, and Dubai is virtually non-existent on NBG's books. So we're getting it while it's hot. This thing averages an 8.75 PE leaving upside even on the average, add to that the real potential of this Olympiad and $9 or even $10 P/E is possible and profit is still likely to rise from current "recession" levels which were down year over year, but significant nevertheless.

Daily or Weekly BS!

We still think the DOW is on borrowed time. It's trading like a low volume dollar stock. We also think USD is in the same boat. Curiously weakening USD could cause the green DOW to stay around for a while, but those values will still be declining. We estimate a potential of nearly 20% downside on USD. So if USD travels down 20% while your portfolio rises 15%, have you made or lost money? You decide.

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Good time to aim low.

NBG, FNM, UNG, XTO
26/02/2010 19:58:29

Take a break.

NBG, FNM, XTO
16/02/2010 08:51:20

DOW 10k upside

NBG, FNM, GLD, AAPL
29/01/2010 09:17:33

Love being right.

NBG, FNM, GLD
08/01/2010 20:51:00

Rejected!

NBG, RBY, GLD, UAUA
28/12/2009 21:04:57

Profits the hard way.

NBG, RBY, GLD, UAUA
22/12/2009 10:07:56